bellwether counties epoch times

He said hes had trouble getting a job for much of his life, because he was found guilty of a felony drug offense as a young man. But, he said, most mainstream politicians dont represent rural America, and issues such as boys that identify as girls and then compete in girls high school sports just smack of stupid., The economy and taxes are important issues to him, but the question he asks of the candidate is, Does this person care about my family?. The counties that predict presidential election winners didn't this Theyve been dubbed bellwether counties and until this year, no president since at least Ronald Reagan has missed even one. Trump is challenging the results in several states, alleging fraud, voter suppression, and illegal restrictions on Republican poll watchers. Biden has talked both ways, so its hard for me to really grasp where he is on the issue. But you cant winem all, Beggs, 80, told The Epoch Times. I dont think my vote counts, he told The Epoch Times. He pissed off a lot of people. Ever since COVID started, it hasnt gotten any better.. Were going to shift from a materialistic world to a more conscious and spiritual world, he said. The researchers also mapped all U.S. counties (over 3,000) by their bellwether scoretheir record of voting for the overall winner in each of the previous 10 presidential electionsgiving progressively larger weight to more recent elections. But not only are bellwethers not really predictors of future success, the likelihood of finding long streaks of prior predictive success has gone down. This includes personalizing content and advertising. That streak, which extended back to when the county supported Harry Truman became president ended in the 2020 Presidential Election when the Donald Trump won the county. And then you have the Biden folks that are like, This is just nutty,' he said. But hes pleased with how Trump has run the country and is eager to reelect him. There is another bellwether list of 58 counties that has correctly picked each president since 2000. While the Royal Drive In has been in the family for 60 years and serves a steady stream of local regulars, Martin says she wont recover until at least next summer, when she can get an extra boost, especially from traveling Canadiansas long as the border is open. Its gone, Jacobs said. Residents who were asked about any candidate choices tended to be true to their reputation as a bellwether county, with more of a wait-and-see type of attitude of seeing whos going to step up as a presidential candidate in 2024. Of the 17 bellwether counties the margin of win by President Trump was 16 points on average! I just dont think hes capable of doing the job that its going to require of him.. The price of gas at the Marathon gas station in Port Clinton was $3.39 a gallon on Feb. 22 whenDave Beggs, anarmy veteran and retired City of Port Clinton heavy equipment operator, pulled in. He won nineteen-to-twenty bellwether counties. He worked in HVAC repair with the local pipefitters union and also owns a small concession business, setting up at events. They see it as just a show, but I think he is for America. dionisia pacquiao net worth; leer un archivo excel en sql server; alix pasquet iii relationship; american gold eagle type 1 vs type 2; sniper spotting scope; His message to Trump is: Shut up and quit twittering. Richard Zulch, an Army veteran who served in Vietnam as a combat engineer from 1969 through 1971 and is the quartermaster for Veterans of Foreign Wars Post 4811 in Bowling Green, said he has been able to see the political landscape from both sides of the fence. I just want Trump in. Only one, Clallam County in Washington, went for former Vice President Joe Biden and only by about a 3 point margin. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Miller doesnt hesitate to say that he isnt happy with the current state of affairs and he doesnt know who hell vote for in the next presidential election. Portman wont be seeking reelection; seven Republicans are competing in the primary election for the partys nomination: Matt Dolan, Mike Gibbons, Josh Mandel, Neil Patel, Mark Pukita, Jane Timken, and J.D. I vote for whomever I think is going to do the better job, whether they are a Democrat or a Republican. Where there used to be eight auto plants in Wayne County now there is only one, the GMC Truck plant, he said. High scoring bellwether counties in these regions tend to border other high scoring counties, unlike their counterparts in the South and West, which tend to see high scoring bellwethers somewhat isolated from each other. Of their nineteen bellwethers, only Essex County, Vermont can be considered as a political competitive county. In 2020, amid widespread accusations of Democrat cheating, these bellwethers were not even close checking in at a mind-blowing 6%! By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Vigo County's most recent winning streak ended this year, as it did for nearly all the country's reliable bellwethers, most of them blue-collar, overwhelmingly white communities in the Rust Belt. Ron DeSantis, Miller said he likes Gov. Meanwhile, Miller and Zulch voiced their support for restarting the Keystone XL pipeline to help the United States return to energy independence and provide oil to European countries experiencing gas shortages and high prices. Its education level is a little lower25 percent have a bachelors degree or higher, compared to 33 percent nationally. He said he finds it hard to believe Bidens claim that he never talked to his son Hunter Biden about his deals in Ukraine and China. Im looking at both sides of it. A recent history of presidential election bellwether counties - Ballotpedia Trump swiped 51 of them by an average margin of nearly 15 points. Just off Interstate 75 at the Pemberville/Bowling Green exit, is Frickers, a popular eatery and gathering place for people of all ages, whereChris Chamberlin ofBowling Green works as the restaurants manager. Racine County, WI might be the single best bellwether: if it called all the elections with missing data elections correctly, it would have 86% correct. I vote for whoever I think is going to do the best job, Sam added. Im not happy with either party. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. President Trump won every single bellwether county, except Clallam County in Washington. Jason Armagost of Mudbeards Bikes and Boards has chosen to stay out of politics and doesnt vote. What a Bellwether County Is Saying About 2020 Election - The Epoch Times Hawker said although Ottawa County tends to lean more Republican, he has noticed that a lot of senior citizens who are Democrats have moved into the area. As far as Wood County being a bellwether county, we do have a mixed group of people here. Its crazy. This is a high farming community.. The candidate who curiously outperformed the bellwether counties? Trump The state as a whole is going more Republican, Wood County Board of Elections Director Julie Baumgardner told The Epoch Times. If this thing continues, were going to be paying $6 a gallon for gas, he said. Now, its the situation with Russias invasion of Ukraine and how that might affect the world and its economies. With all the inflation, its challenging, and can be tricky to run a business, Miller, 58, said. Natural gas is a key ingredient in the process used to make the nitrogen-based fertilizer used on crops such as corn and wheat. RIDGWAY, Pa.Tucked into a wooded valley in north-central Pennsylvania is the bellwether borough of Ridgway, the county seat of Elk County. There is another bellwether list of 58 counties that has correctly picked each president since 2000; Trump won 51 of them by an average margin of nearly 15 points. Florida's I-4 corridor: Where presidents get picked Things happen for a reason, and its out of our control until things change, Brendon told The Epoch Times. Bellwether County Portends a Red Pennsylvania in 2020 Election The simple answer is that chance effects can be much greater than most people realize. Please read our comments policy before commenting. Most of the jobs up here are part-time or seasonal. Hawker told The Epoch Times he voted for Trump in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, and if he wouldve been re-elected, the country wouldnt be facing the problems they are having now. "The Wall Street Journal and The Epoch Times independently analyzed the results of 19 counties around the United States that have nearly perfect presidential voting records over the last 40 years. There is another bellwether list of 58 counties that has correctly picked each president since 2000. Thus, as polarization rises, the potential for counties shifting their mean party preference across different elections declines. After the 46-state landslide, James Farley, Roosevelts campaign manager, revised the theory: As goes Maine, so goes Vermont.. One such claim is that Trumps victories in 2020 in the vast bulk of the counties that had previously been labeled as bellwethers proved that Trump really won the election and was denied the victory because of fraud. The way the system works now, if you get in as a young person on something small, its very hard to get out. Since he became a Christian in the mid-1990s, he said hes used his moral compass to determine his vote. The researchers also mapped all American counties (over 3,000) by their bellwether scorethat is their record of voting for the overall winner in each of the previous 10 presidential electionsgiving progressively larger weight to more recent elections. Fifteen percent is a very large gap to close, he said. 2020: Trump - 54.12%, Biden - 45.20%. The 2012 outcome seemed to be the beginning of a more robust shift to the right for the countywhile the state reelected Obama, Elk County had already moved on. They missed in 1908 and 1952, but otherwise, the county has well earned its reputation as a bellwether. And then theres Vigo Countyin Indianathe quintessential bellwether that has correctly picked the winner in all but two elections since 1888. Our mission is to put on honest elections.. Bellwether Counties Historical Performance 1984 to 2020 Miller cited seeing some retail and light industrial development around the county in recent yearsa Bass Pro Shops store in Bowling Green, a 1 million-square-foot expansion for First Solar in Perrysburg in 2018, and downtown revitalization in Bowling Green. The cost of my prescriptions has gone through the roof. Ottawa County is on the doorstep of a Democratic stronghold, about 35 miles east of Toledo in neighboring Wood County. Fact check: These 5 election statistics do not discredit Joe - Yahoo! She also said that many people who come into the pub are outspoken about the current state of affairs in the United States, especially on Saturdays when the crowds are larger. Their fear is real, mine is. Bernard Grofman University of California, Irvine In Ridgway, Biden supporters were more difficult to find and more reluctant to talk than Trump supporters, but a few yard signs were dotted around. 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